Inside Elections moved New York's 19th Congressional election between incumbent Republican John Faso and Democrat Antonio Delgado Sept. 28 from "Toss-Up" to "Tilt Democratic." The Fivethirtyeight.com website gives Delgado a four-in-seven chance of winning, putting his chances specifically at 57.3 percent, with Faso given a three-in-seven chance of winning, or 42.7 percent. Faso himself released his next advertisement this week, again focusing on his wife rather than his own votes in Congress. And the National Republican Congressional Committee released its third ad this week in support of Faso. Previously, the NRCC's ads have been called racist and pulled from one local radio station. This one is called "Can't Afford Delgado."