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Two political prognosticators move Delgado's campaign from 'likely' to 'lean'

Apr 20, 2022 1:23 pm

Two political prognosticators moved the re-election of Democrat Antonio Delgado to the 19th Congressional District from “Likely Democratic” to “Leans Democratic” on April 20. Both Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball and the Cook Political Report downgraded Delgado’s chances of beating Republican Marc Molinaro, currently the Dutchess County Executive, in November's election. Both analysts said the move was because of a national wave moving towards Republicans, and not about the specifics of the Delgado/Molinaro campaigns. "In a Republican wave scenario, these are the kinds of districts that could get swept up," Sabato's Crystal Ball website said about the five Democrats they were moving from likely winners, to leaning toward predicting a win. "Republicans appear to have credible recruits in these districts that are raising enough money to be competitive." National Republican Congressional Committee Spokesperson Samantha Bullock crowed about the political predictions. “Everyone can see the writing on the wall that this will be Antonio Delgado’s last term in Congress,” she said.