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Most political prognosticators rate NY-19 Congressional election a toss-up

Aug 30, 2022 1:34 pm

Now that New York's Congressional elections are all set, the political prognosticators have released their predictions for the November vote, and they are mostly in agreement. The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Larry Saboto's Crystal Ball all predict that the NY-19 race between Democrat Josh Riley and Republican Marc Molinaro is a toss-up. They have the NY-18 election between Republican Colin Schmitt and Democrat Pat Ryan either "lean Democrat" or "tilt Democrat." And the Cook Political Report rates the NY-20 contest between Democrat Paul Tonko and Republican Liz Joy as solid Democrat, and the NY-21 election between Republican Elise Stefanik and Democrat Matt Castelli is solid Republican. The fivethirtyeight.com website is the only outlier. They rate NY-18 a toss-up between Ryan and Schmitt, and say the NY-19 election between Molinaro and Riley leans Republican. But fivethirtyeight.com agrees that the NY-20 race is solid Democratic, and the NY-21 election is solid Republican.

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