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Gibson up in leaked poll
Oct 20, 2010 4:39 pm
GFC - Voter - Poll - Track 2 NY CD 20 Key Fiindings Memo POS[1]
Jimmy Vielkind in Capitol Confidential reports: Chris Gibson’s campaign released a poll this morning by Public Opinion Strategies showing he leads his Democratic opponent, Rep. Scott Murphy, by two points. This POS poll shows Gibson, a retired Army colonel from Kinderhook, leading 44-42; an earlier POS poll showed Gibson within “striking distance,” trailing Murphy, D-Glens Falls, by six. A poll by the National Republican Congressional Committee leaked to the Washington Post showed Gibson leading 48-45. The last public poll, Siena College’s survey in September, showed Murphy leading. There are risks to believing leaked polls, especially when campaigns only summarize their findings (a memo is above) without showing the questions asked. But it’s been a long time since the Siena poll, and the general consensus among observers in the district is the race will converge to within the margin of error — which both Republican polls show. Gibson said during a radio interview with Fred Dicker that he was “encouraged” by the result, but the only poll that matters is on election day.
Jimmy Vielkind in Capitol Confidential reports: Chris Gibson’s campaign released a poll this morning by Public Opinion Strategies showing he leads his Democratic opponent, Rep. Scott Murphy, by two points. This POS poll shows Gibson, a retired Army colonel from Kinderhook, leading 44-42; an earlier POS poll showed Gibson within “striking distance,” trailing Murphy, D-Glens Falls, by six. A poll by the National Republican Congressional Committee leaked to the Washington Post showed Gibson leading 48-45. The last public poll, Siena College’s survey in September, showed Murphy leading. There are risks to believing leaked polls, especially when campaigns only summarize their findings (a memo is above) without showing the questions asked. But it’s been a long time since the Siena poll, and the general consensus among observers in the district is the race will converge to within the margin of error — which both Republican polls show. Gibson said during a radio interview with Fred Dicker that he was “encouraged” by the result, but the only poll that matters is on election day.